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- ⚠️The US labor market slowdown is intensifying
⚠️The US labor market slowdown is intensifying
Ignore the headlines, the underlying data tells a very different story
Global Markets Investor
January 12, 2026
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DURING THE MARCH-APRIL 2025 MARKET TURMOIL, MAJOR US INDEXES FELL NEARLY 20%, WHILE THE GMI PORTFOLIO GAINED OVER 5%, FIND OUT HOW BELOW:
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimates the US economy created +50,000 jobs in December, according to a report released Friday, January 9. This missed average expectations of +70,000 increase.
This brings, the 3-month average of job addition to -22,000, of the weakest reading since 2020.
The unemployment rate fell -0.1% to 4.4% (4.38% unrounded). The prior month was revised slightly down to 4.536% from 4.560%.
The U-6 unemployment rate, which includes persons marginally attached to the labor force and part-time workers for economic reasons, fell -0.3 percentage points in December to 8.4%, the 2nd-highest since 2021.
This captures people who want a job and have stopped looking, plus those forced to work part-time because full-time work is unavailable.
The top-line data may appear encouraging. A closer look, as always, is needed to understand what is unfolding beneath the surface.
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Importantly, we also need to remember, that previous jobs reports have significantly overestimated the real numbers. This has happened repeatedly over the last few years and is likely the case again.
After the paywall, you will find the full analysis of the most recent jobs report, including what leading indicators say is coming next.
FREE REPORT EXAMPLES INCLUDING THE JUNE’S REPORT ARE LINKED BELOW
Links to the previous analysis is below.
FULL BREAKDOWN OF THE REPORT AND FORWARD LOOKING DATA INCLUDING THE MOST RECENT REVISIONS
