The Fed

US stock market analysisTrade WarJapanUS economyWarren Buffett1. IMPORTANT WEEKLY ANALYSISThe FedUnemploymentGoldUS debt crisisINVESTMENT PORTFOLIOCentral BanksGermanyThe Federal ReserveUS public debtWEEKLY MARKET RECAPUS Job MarketUS deficitWorld EconomyS&P 500tradingSilverDebt
The FedThe Fed
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⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: The US Dollar index is the most oversold in two decades

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: The US Dollar index is the most oversold in two decades

Is the short US Dollar trade overcrowded?

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
US economyUS economy
+3+3
⚠️Americans' wages are stagnating

⚠️Americans' wages are stagnating

The share of working Americans not getting pay raises is increasing

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
US economyUS economy
+5+5
⚠️The US private sector employment is in a recession

⚠️The US private sector employment is in a recession

US labor market trends are heading in the undesired direction

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
JapanJapan
+3+3
🚨The whole world is cutting rates except the Fed

🚨The whole world is cutting rates except the Fed

At the same time, major central bank are reducing their balance sheets

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
1. IMPORTANT WEEKLY ANALYSIS1. IMPORTANT WEEKLY ANALYSIS
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The Fed is still clueless about the future path of rates and economy

The Fed is still clueless about the future path of rates and economy

There is no consensus among the Fed members regarding the future rates path

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
US economyUS economy
+2+2
⚠️The US job market is set to deteriorate

⚠️The US job market is set to deteriorate

One leading indicator suggests further weakness in the US labor market

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
US economyUS economy
+3+3
⚠️US job gains were likely OVERSTATED by ~900,000 in 2024:

⚠️US job gains were likely OVERSTATED by ~900,000 in 2024:

Massive job downward revisions will continue in the US

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
US economyUS economy
+1+1
⚠️US auto loan delinquencies are rising:

⚠️US auto loan delinquencies are rising:

The US car market bubble is bursting

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
The FedThe Fed
+1+1
⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: The Fed continues to reduce its balance sheet (QT)

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: The Fed continues to reduce its balance sheet (QT)

Let's clarify some misconceptions about the Fed balance sheet, which has been flying on the X platform over the last few days

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
US stock market analysisUS stock market analysis
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🚨The Fed knows nothing, likewise the majority of market participants and watchers

🚨The Fed knows nothing, likewise the majority of market participants and watchers

The Fed kept the rates unchanged for the second consecutive meeting on Wednesday

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
US economyUS economy
+4+4
🚨US layoffs are surging at a recessionary pace

🚨US layoffs are surging at a recessionary pace

February job report showed a lot of labor market weakness

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor
US economyUS economy
+2+2
🚨US government bonds are rallying

🚨US government bonds are rallying

Long-term Treasuries are benefiting from deteriorating US economic data

Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor