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  • S&P 500 recovered the last two weeks' losses. Weekly market recap, trading week 07/2025

S&P 500 recovered the last two weeks' losses. Weekly market recap, trading week 07/2025

Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform

Author

Global Markets Investor
February 16, 2025

In this series, you can find financial markets posts with the highest number of interactions from my X platform feed over the most recent week. I am aware that not everybody uses X regularly so I thought it could provide some value to your analysis, and investment process. These posts are also surrounded by commentary and explanations of complicated topics.

This was quite a volatile week as investors were awaiting more details regarding US tariffs and plenty of inflation data was released from the US. It looks like reciprocal tariffs will be imposed as soon as April 1. Additionally, Fed Chair Powell was speaking and his remarks confirmed the Fed is not in a hurry to cut rates and will watch closely subsequent inflation data releases. Overall, the market finished on a positive note due to relatively good US inflation data.

!!️The US job report for January was a complete mess

Despite the last two months' positive revisions, the US job market is likely to deteriorate further

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-job-report-for-january-was-a-complete-mess

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: The Goldman Sachs Bull/Bear Market Indicator hit near a record high

Party like it's 1999

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/cha

⚠️Global liquidity appears to be falling

Will this cause lower stock market returns ahead?

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/global-liquidity-appears-to-be-falling

⚠️US budget deficit hit $838 billion in the first 4 months of the Fiscal Year 2025

The US government continues spend like a drunken sailor

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-budget-deficit-hit-838-billion-in-the-first-4-months-of-the-fiscal-year-2025

🚨The Number of Americans working multiple jobs hit an all-time high

People are working multiple jobs to make ends meet due to record prices and debt.

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-number-of-americans-working-multiple-jobs-hit-an-all-time-high

!!️The Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to cut rates further - for now

The Fed kept they rates unchanged in the first meeting of 2024

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-federal-reserve-is-not-in-a-hurry

1) Weekly performance. In the first screenshot attached, you can see last week’s performance of the major US indexes, the VIX volatility index, gold, and Bitcoin.

- S&P 500 rose 1.4%
- Nasdaq index jumped 2.6%
- Dow Jones increased 0.5%
- Russell 2000 (small caps) fell 0.2%
- VIX tumbled 10%
- WTI Crude Oil fell 0.5%
- Silver soared 1.6%
- Gold increased 0.3%

Gold is making history

Time to revisit an outlook of the so-called barbarous relic

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/gold-is-making-history-now-but-what

- Bitcoin rose 0.9%

Is Bitcoin going to $1,000,000?

What to expect from the world's largest cryptocurrency in the coming months and years

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/is-bitcoin-going-to-1000000

For the trading week ending February 21, key events are:

- FOMC Minutes (a detailed record of the Fed’s latest meeting) on Wednesday

- US S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs for February on Friday

- US Consumer Sentiment for February on Friday

- US Existing Home Sales for January on Friday

- At least 8 Fed speakers.

A relatively quiet week in comparison to the previous two. Investors will be looking at the Fed’s minutes from its latest meeting but it is likely that it will be a reiteration of the rate cuts pause narrative unless inflation data improves.

2) This is absolutely stunning US stock market statistic:

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