⚠️Global liquidity appears to be falling

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The global excess liquidity indicator turned lower a few months ago and is on the brink of turning negative. Liquidity tends to be a leading indicator for US and world equities.

In the past, excess liquidity led the US stock market by 3-6 months. However, the main driver of the drop this time has been the US dollar. This means foreign investors will be more affected than domestic ones.

Lastly, in terms of falling or rising liquidity, the most susceptible are mega-cap technology stocks.

It will be interesting to see over the next several weeks how much the US stock market is affected.

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