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US stocks rallied on US-China tariff headlines. Weekly market recap, trading week 23/2025

Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform

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In this series, you can find financial markets posts with the highest number of interactions from my X platform feed over the most recent week. I am aware that not everybody uses X regularly, so I thought it could provide some value to your analysis, and investment process. These posts are surrounded by extra charts, commentary and explanations of complicated topics.

US stocks rallied this week, fueled by positive China-US trade headlines. This is a reversal from the previous weekend’s tensions.

US Treasury yields are back on the rise, while silver prices skyrocketed.

Meanwhile, China granted export licenses to rare earth suppliers of the top 3 US automakers, including General Motors Co., Ford Motor Co., and Stellantis NV., which are valid for 6 months, according to Bloomberg

Additionally, on Friday, President Trump announced that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, and Trade Representative, Jamieson Greer will be meeting with representatives of China on June 9th as part of the next round of US-China trade talks.

In case you missed it, this week’s posts are listed below.

⚠️US job gains were likely OVERSTATED by ~900,000 in 2024:

Massive job downward revisions will continue in the US

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-job-gains-were-likely-overstated-by-900-000-in-2024

🚨US Treasury is supporting the bond market

Treasury debt buybacks are trending upward

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-treasury-is-supporting-the-bond-market

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: Foreigners are dumping US equities

Capital is gradually going back home amid historic policy uncertainty.

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/chart-of-the-week-foreigners-are-dumping-us-equities

How did the top 10 world economies perform in Q1 2025?

Time to revisit the economic growth in the top largest global economies, and what are their future perspectives

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/how-did-the-top-10-world-economies-perform-in-q1-2025

Retail investors are on a buying spree

Individual investors have never been buying more stocks

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/retail-investors-are-on-a-buying-spree

🚨The US Dollar and Treasury yields relationship has broken down

The way of investing has materially changed this year

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-dollar-and-treasury-yields-relationship-has-broken-down

1) Weekly performance. In the first post attached, you can see last week’s performance of the major US indexes, the VIX volatility index, 10-year Treasury yield, the US Dollar, gold, silver, WTI Crude oil and Bitcoin.

- S&P 500 rose 1.5%
- Nasdaq index jumped 2.2%
- Dow Jones increased 1.2%
- Russell 2000 (small caps) soared 3.1%
- US 10-year Treasury yield rose 11 bps
- VIX dropped 10%
- US Dollar index fell 0.1%
- WTI Crude Oil jumped 6.5%
- Silver spiked 8.9%
- Gold rose 0.6%

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: Will the gold outperformance of the S&P 500 continue for years?

Food for thought regarding gold and the S&P 500 relative performance

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/chart-of-the-week-will-the-gold-outperformance-of-the-s-p-500-continue-for-years

!?️Is this a time to be cautious about gold?

Short-term and long-term perspectives for the world's most desired metal.

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/is-this-a-time-to-be-cautious-about-gold

- Bitcoin fell 0.2%

Is Bitcoin going to $1,000,000?

What to expect from the world's largest cryptocurrency in the coming months and years

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/is-bitcoin-going-to-1000000

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For the trading week ending June 13, key events are:

- US Inflation CPI for May on Wednesday

- US Inflation PPI for May on Thursday

- US Consumer Sentiment for June on Friday

Investors will be following inflation data closely before the June 18 Fed Rate decision as well as tariff-related headlines.

According to a Bloomberg survey of economists, Inflation CPI excl. food and energy costs, increased 0.3% month-over-month in May, the most in 4 months.

2) Mixed data regarding positioning on US stocks of institutional and retail investors.

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