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S&P 500 dropped in 5 out of the last 6 weeks. Weekly market recap, trading week 13/2025

S&P 500 dropped in 5 out of the last 6 weeks. Weekly market recap, trading week 13/2025

Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform

Global Markets Investor
March 30, 2025

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In this series, you can find financial markets posts with the highest number of interactions from my X platform feed over the most recent week. I am aware that not everybody uses X regularly, so I thought it could provide some value to your analysis, and investment process. These posts are also surrounded by commentary and explanations of complicated topics.

The S&P 500 has dropped in 5 out of the last 6 weeks and is now down 5% year-to-date. The Nasdaq index has fallen 10% thus far this year while NVIDIA, one of the most hyped stocks last year has declined 18%. US stocks are now on track for the worst quarter since Q3 2022 spurred by tariff and stagflation fears.

🚨Is the United States going to default on its public debt?

What is a Mar-a-Lago Accord and how it could reshape the global financial system?

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/is-the-united-states-going-to-default-on-its-public-debt

INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO UPDATE (March 18, 2025)

Please find out an update about my market positioning - only for Founding Members

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/investment-portfolio-update-march-18-2025

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: US auto repossessions hit the Great Financial Crisis levels

Another evidence that an average US consumer is struggling

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/chart-of-the-week-us-auto-repossessions-hit-the-great-financial-crisis-levels

🚨US debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to hit a mind-blowing 156%

Congressional Budget Office just released its new public debt forecasts

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-debt-to-gdp-ratio-is-projected-to-hit-a-mind-blowing-156

🚨Trade war 2.0 intensifies

President Donald Trump announced 25% tariffs on all cars made outside the US

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/americans-have-rarely-been-so-pessimistic-about-the-job-market-outlook-1

🚨Americans have rarely been so pessimistic about the job market outlook

Glassdoor employee confidence index fell to the lowest on record

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/americans-have-rarely-been-so-pessimistic-about-the-job-market-outlook

⚠️US technology stocks are a big laggard this year

Will the Big Tech lead the market down further?

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-technology-stocks-are-a-big-laggard-this-year

1) Weekly performance. In the first screenshot attached, you can see last week’s performance of the major US indexes, the VIX volatility index, gold, and Bitcoin.

- S&P 500 dropped 1.5%
- Nasdaq index fell 2.6%
- Dow Jones tumbled 1.0%
- Russell 2000 (small caps) plunged 1.7%
- VIX spiked 12%
- WTI Crude Oil rose 1.1%
- Silver surged 4.0%
- Gold rose 3.2%

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: Will the gold outperformance of the S&P 500 continue for years?

Food for thought regarding gold and the S&P 500 relative performance

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/chart-of-the-week-will-the-gold-outperformance-of-the-s-p-500-continue-for-years

!?️Is this a time to be cautious about gold?

Short-term and long-term perspectives for the world's most desired metal.

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/is-this-a-time-to-be-cautious-about-gold

- Bitcoin rose 0.3%

Is Bitcoin going to $1,000,000?

What to expect from the world's largest cryptocurrency in the coming months and years

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/is-bitcoin-going-to-1000000

For the trading week ending April 4, key events are:

- US ISM Manufacturing PMI for March on Tuesday

- US Job Openings for February on Tuesday

- US April 2nd ‘Reciprocal tariffs’ announcement on Wednesday

- US ADP Nonfarm Employment for March on Wednesday

- US ChallengerJob Cuts for March on Thursday

- US ISM Services PMI for March on Thursday

- US Non Farm Payrolls and the Unemployment rate for March on Friday

- Fed Chair Powell Speech

Massive week. All eyes will be on the tariffs announcement, the job market report on Friday, and the following Chair Powell's speech.

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⚠The S&P 500 dropped in 5 out of the last 6 weeks.
US stocks are on track for the WORST quarter since Q3 2022 spurred by tariff and stagflation fears.
Gold is outperforming.
Performance this week:
S&P 500 -1.5%
Nasdaq -2.6%
Russell 2000 -1.7%
Dow Jones -1.0%
Bitcoin +0.3%
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv)
9:15 PM • Mar 28, 2025

🚨S&P 500 is down 5% year-to-date.
Nasdaq is down 10%.
NVIDIA is down 18%.
It has been a hell of a quarter but the year is just starting.
Who would have thought...
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv)
5:19 PM • Mar 28, 2025

⁉️"Magnificent 7" stocks translating to "Lagnificent 7"⁉️
Magnificent 7 market cap share in the S&P 500 dropped sharply by 4 percentage points to 31%, the lowest since August.
The group's shares are in a bear market and are down 20%.
Will this share go down even further? to
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv)
1:36 PM • Mar 30, 2025

🔥Investors are pouring money into GOLD:
Gold ETFs attracted a whopping $12 BILLION in net inflows over the last 2 months, the most in 5 YEARS.
As economic and market uncertainty has skyrocketed gold has massively rallied and beat other assets.
Gold is up 17% year-to-date.
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv)
4:30 PM • Mar 30, 2025

‼️Gold shipments to the US are SKYROCKETING:
Swiss gold exports to the US hit a record 404 metric tons over the last 3 months.
Gold stockpiles on the Comex hit a record 42.6 million ounces on Tuesday, almost DOUBLE the inventory at the end of 2024.
Rush for gold is real.
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv)
4:30 PM • Mar 27, 2025

⚠️Gold is sending a WARNING:
Gold prices have surged 40% over the past year.
The yellow metal has been the best-performing asset during this period.
The last time, gold performed so well was during the 1970s stagflation period in the US.
Is stagflation on the radar again?!
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv)
10:14 AM • Mar 28, 2025

⚠️The 10-year Japanese government bond yield is SKYROCKETING:
Japan's 10-year yield hit 1.56% yesterday, the highest since the Great Financial Crisis.
It is heading for 2.0% this year, which would be the highest level in at least 18 years.
Absolutely insane moves.
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv)
1:30 PM • Mar 28, 2025

🚨This is truly UNPRECEDENTED:
European stocks have outperformed the US equities in Dollar terms by the biggest margin on RECORD.
The Euro Stoxx 600 (USD) has outperformed the S&P 500 by 17 percentage points so far this quarter as both US stocks and the US Dollar have fallen.
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv)
6:30 PM • Mar 25, 2025

🚨History does not repeat itself but often RHYMES:
US market share of the global equity market fell to 54%, from an all-time high of 57% over the last several weeks.
The share is still historically elevated, in line with the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak.
Is the US bubble bursting?
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv)
12:33 PM • Mar 24, 2025

‼️Egg and orange juice prices are COLLAPSING:
Large egg prices in the US have declined over 50% to ~$3.50 per dozen.
Additionally, orange juice futures prices have dropped ~50% over the last 3 months to ~$2.50 per pound.
This comes as demand has fallen off a cliff.
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv)
7:30 PM • Mar 26, 2025

2) US stocks selling has not been done yet.

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