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US stocks had a mixed week amid the Fed’s rate decision. Weekly market recap, trading week 50/2025

Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform

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Global Markets Investor
December 14, 2025

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🔥🔥 GLOBAL MARKETS INVESTOR PORTFOLIO — UP 64% SINCE JANUARY 2024 DURING THE MARCH-APRIL 2025 MARKET TURMOIL, MAJOR US INDEXES FELL NEARLY 20%, WHILE THE GMI PORTFOLIO GAINED OVER 5%, FIND OUT HOW BELOW:

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globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/c/investment-portfolio

In this series, you can find financial markets posts with the highest number of interactions from my X platform feed over the most recent week. I am aware that not everybody uses X regularly, so I thought it could provide some value to your analysis, and investment process. These posts are surrounded by extra charts, commentary and explanations of complicated topics.

US stocks ended mixed after the Fed’s 3rd rate cut of the year and amid growing fears that AI returns may be delayed.

US Treasuries continued to fall along with the US Dollar while gold and silver rallied.

Crypto volatility highlighted last week’s swings as Bitcoin traded between $90,000 and $94,000 before ending slightly up.

Interestingly, small caps and cyclicals outperformed large-cap tech, suggesting investors are betting on a growth re-acceleration supported by government spending and lower Fed rates.

Overall, AI-related stocks have gone nowhere since the beginning of October.

In case you missed it, other posts from this week are listed below.

Fed policymakers are increasingly divided

The central bank cut rates by 25 basis points for the 3rd time this year.

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/fed-policymakers-are-increasingly-divided

🚨US large and small bankruptcies are rising at an alarming rate

Large and small companies are going bankrupt at a pace consistent with a recession.

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-large-and-small-bankruptcies-are-rising-at-an-alarming-rate

🚨What are the official US job openings, NFIB small business, and hiring data saying?

Time to update the analysis of the US labor market with additional data released on Tuesday, December 9.

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/what-are-the-official-us-job-openings-nfib-small-business-and-hiring-data-saying

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: Central bank gold buying is accelerating

Global central banks continue to acquire gold despite rising prices

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/chart-of-the-week-central-bank-gold-buying-is-accelerating

⚠️US consumer credit has hit an all-time high

Americans are taking on more debt to fight weakening wage growth, rising prices, and a deteriorating labor market.

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-consumer-credit-has-hit-an-all-time-high

The US is one of the most expensive markets in the world

This is despite having the worst year versus global equities since the Financial Crisis

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-is-one-of-the-most-expensive-markets-in-the-world

1) Weekly performance. In the first post attached, you can see last week’s performance of the major US indexes, the VIX volatility index, 10-year Treasury yield, the US Dollar, gold, silver, WTI Crude oil and Bitcoin.

- S&P 500 -0.6%
- Nasdaq -1.6%
- Dow Jones +1.1%
- Russell 2000 (small caps) +1.1%
- US 10-year Treasury yield +5 bps
- VIX +2%, front month VIX futures -4%
- US Dollar index -0.6%
- Gold +2.1%
- Silver +5.2%
- WTI Crude Oil -4.3%

Gold and silver are making history

What's next for the most in-demand precious metals?

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/gold-and-silver-are-making-history

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: Will the gold outperformance of the S&P 500 continue for years?

Food for thought regarding gold and the S&P 500 relative performance

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/chart-of-the-week-will-the-gold-outperformance-of-the-s-p-500-continue-for-years

- Bitcoin +1.2%

Is Bitcoin going to $1,000,000?

What to expect from the world's largest cryptocurrency in the coming months and years

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/is-bitcoin-going-to-1000000

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For the trading week ending December 19, key events are:

- US Non-farm payrolls for October and November on Tuesday

- US Retail Sales for October on Tuesday

- US S&P Global Services and Manufacturing PMI for December on Tuesday

- US CPI Inflation Data for November on Thursday

- US Consumer Sentiment for December on Friday

- At least 5 Fed Speeches

Upcoming US labor data will confirm whether the employment slowdown is gaining momentum.

2) Hedge funds and retail investors sold equities last week. Is the market liquidity rising again?

3) Real economy continues to weaken.

4) German bankruptcies and unemployment are surging.

5) Some additional posts that include interesting data.

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