- Global Markets Investor
- Posts
- US stocks dropped amid rising AI and geopolitical uncertainty. Weekly market recap, trading week 09/2026
US stocks dropped amid rising AI and geopolitical uncertainty. Weekly market recap, trading week 09/2026
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
Global Markets Investor
March 01, 2026
In partnership with
GLOBAL MARKETS INVESTOR’S PORTFOLIO IS 🔥UP +97%🔥 SINCE JANUARY 2024
DURING THE MARCH-APRIL 2025 MARKET TURMOIL, MAJOR US INDEXES FELL NEARLY 20%, WHILE THE GMI PORTFOLIO GAINED OVER 5%, FIND OUT HOW BELOW:
In this series, you can find financial markets posts with the highest number of interactions from my X platform feed over the most recent week. I am aware that not everybody uses X regularly, so I thought it could provide some value to your analysis, and investment process. These posts are surrounded by extra charts, commentary and explanations of complicated topics.
US stocks fell this week on rising AI disruption concerns and rising cracks in the US credit market as well as geopolitical uncertainty.
The S&P 500 recorded the worst month since March 2025 and has now gone nowhere for 4 months.
Meanwhile, rising uncertainty triggered another surge in silver and gold prices.
Lastly, US Treasuries posted their best month since February 2025.
This comes as investors are looking for safety amid rising global risks and a selloff in stocks.
The rally accelerated on Friday amid renewed worries over AI’s disruptive impact, escalating geopolitical tensions, and growing concerns about hidden vulnerabilities in the US private credit market.
Before we move one, a short summary what happened in the Middle East on Saturday.
The US and Israel conducted joint strikes on Iran, with explosions reported in Tehran and attacks on intelligence headquarters and the presidential palace.
Israeli media reported several “assassination” strikes, and at least two waves of attacks took place.
The US military confirmed it has begun “major combat operations in Iran,” with Trump saying the goal is to defend the American people.
Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei and President Pezeshkian were targeted. Iranian state media have confirmed that Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has been killed, and the succession plan is now being activated.
The New York Times reported that US officials expect the strikes to continue for several days or even weeks.
Iran retaliated by striking US bases in Kuwait, the UAE, and Qatar.
Iran also launched attacks on Israel.
US officials say the operations will continue for days or weeks, while Israel says the goal is to “end the Ayatollahs’ regime.”
President Trump told the Iranian people to stay sheltered, warned bombs would be falling, and urged them to take over their government once the strikes end.
Overall, many people expect markets to trade higher on Monday mentioning Bitcoin, the only asset trading during the attack, which quickly reversed its initial drop and moved higher. Much of the geopolitical risk, especially the oil shock, was already priced in, and early signals show that US-Israeli operations were effective while major supply disruptions remain limited. Unless the conflict unexpectedly escalates, investors may interpret the situation as stabilizing, setting up a cautiously positive start to the week.
Polymarket traders see a 28% chance that there is a US-Iran ceasefire next week. 65% say by the end of the month.
However, the situation can escalate any minute, and investors cannot also forget about other risks related to AI and deteriorating conditions in the US credit market.
In case you missed it, other posts from this week are listed below.
1) Weekly performance. In the first post attached, you can see last week’s performance of the major US indexes, the VIX volatility index, 10-year Treasury yield, the US Dollar, gold, silver, WTI Crude oil and Bitcoin.
- S&P 500 -0.5%
- Nasdaq -1.0%
- Russell 2000 (small caps) -1.2%
- Dow Jones -1.3%
- US 10-year Treasury yield -12 basis points
- Bank Index -5.9%
- VIX +5%, front month contract VIX futures 64%
- US Dollar index -0.2%
- Gold +3.9%
- Silver +14%
- WTI Crude Oil +1.0%
- Bitcoin -3.1%
Speed Doesn’t Replace Strategy.
AI can surface the numbers in seconds, but numbers alone don’t create clarity.
In fact, many leaders have more financial data than ever yet less clarity about what to do next.
The real challenge isn’t reporting. It’s interpretation. Context. Judgment.
BELAY created the free guide The Future of Financial Leadership to explore why automation is a tool — not a replacement — for experienced financial oversight.
Inside, you’ll learn how the right human support brings structure to your numbers, confidence to your decisions, and focus to your growth strategy.
At BELAY, our U.S.-based Financial Experts help leaders move beyond dashboards and into decisive action.
Because insight doesn’t drive a business forward. Leadership does.
For the trading week ending March 6, key events are:
- US ISM Manufacturing PMI for February on Monday
- US ISM Services PMI for February on Wednesday
- US Challenger Job Cut Announcements for February on Thursday
- US Retail Sales for January on Friday
- US Non-farm Payrolls for February on Friday
Investors will be paying close attention to US job market data in the upcoming week.
2) NVIDIA, $NVDA ( ▲ 1.57% ) just reported the best quarter in its history, and investors were unimpressed.
3) Only the Financial Crisis saw this earlier in this century.
4) Institutional investors are massively dumping US equities as S&P 500 short interest surges.
5) Some additional posts that include interesting economic and financial-market data on Japanese insurers and the bond market, cracks in the US credit market, US PPI inflation, crypto-fund outflows, global money supply, and the Korean stock market.
