⚠️US executives have rarely been this pessimistic about the economy

The economic outlook is getting worse

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Global Markets Investor
April 25, 2025

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The ratio of S&P 500 companies' mentions of “better” or “stronger” versus “worse” or “weaker” during the Q1 2025 earnings call dropped to ~1,7x, the lowest level since the Great Financial Crisis.

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The ratio is even lower than in the 2020 Crisis.

By comparison, the ratio was 3.1x in the prior quarter, or nearly twice as high.

Companies’ commentary suggests that the economic activity and its outlook are deteriorating which will negatively impact future earnings.

Still, roughly 2/3 of S&P 500 companies have not reported their Q1 2025 results yet, so we should expect more insight in the upcoming weeks.

S&P 500 advanced for the 2nd consecutive week. Weekly market recap, trading week 16/2025

Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/s-p-500-posted-a-significant-reversal-amid-historic-volatility-weekly-market-recap-trading-week-15-2-4417

🚨Is the United States going to default on its public debt?

What is a Mar-a-Lago Accord and how it could reshape the global financial system?

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/is-the-united-states-going-to-default-on-its-public-debt

🚨Is the US stock market headed for a prolonged bear market?

Time to revisit the US stock market valuation and concentration metrics

globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/is-the-us-stock-market-headed-for-a-prolonged-bear-market

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