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- Oman/Dubai crude oil prices are crashing at a historic pace:
Oman/Dubai crude oil prices are crashing at a historic pace:
Meanwhile, negotiations between the US and Iran appear to be ongoing.
Global Markets Investor
March 26, 2026
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DURING THE MARCH-APRIL 2025 MARKET TURMOIL, MAJOR US INDEXES FELL NEARLY 20%, WHILE THE GMI PORTFOLIO GAINED OVER 5%, FIND OUT HOW BELOW:
Oman/Dubai crude plunged over -$45 in a single day, to ~$110 per barrel, one of the largest single-day drops for any oil benchmark in history.
Murban crude, the UAE's flagship oil grade used to price physical cargoes across Asia, is also sharply lower.
Both benchmarks had surged above $140 per barrel earlier this month, far outpacing Brent and WTI.
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Unlike Brent and WTI, which are heavily influenced by financial markets that often smooth out sharp moves, Oman and Murban crude reflect real-time physical trading and react instantly to cargo demand and supply changes in the region.
The sudden reversal is being driven by shifting geopolitical expectations, including Donald Trump announcing that military action on Iranian energy infrastructure is postponed, rapidly deflating the war premium that had been built into prices.
Additionally, oil flows to China, India, and Japan are gradually normalizing, suggesting the leverage Iran held through the Strait of Hormuz is fading.
The expectation had been that Brent and WTI would eventually catch up to where Oman/Dubai crude was trading above $140.
Instead, it is Oman/Dubai that is collapsing back toward Brent and WTI levels, as the market is starting to price in de-escalation.
Meanwhile, negotiations between the US and Iran appear to be ongoing despite so many denials.
Tehran is now awaiting a US response, but called the proposal "one-sided and unfair," saying it serves only US and Israeli interests and "lacks the minimum requirements for success," according to a senior Iranian official speaking to Reuters.
Iran's conditions include an end to all acts of aggression, compensation and war reparations, guarantees the war will not be repeated, and a ceasefire across all fronts including all resistance groups in the region, according to Tasnim.
Iran also stated that sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz "is and will remain its natural and legal right."
Separately, a senior Iranian official told Reuters that Turkey and Pakistan are actively trying to facilitate dialogue and establish common ground between Tehran and Washington.
The official added that "diplomacy has not stopped, and if realism prevails in Washington, a path forward may still be found."
Despite publicly rejecting the US proposal and calling it a "deception project," Iran is clearly engaging through back channels.
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