⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: The US Dollar index is the most oversold in two decades

Is the short US Dollar trade overcrowded?

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The US Dollar index has dropped ~10% year-to-date, marking one of the biggest declines in ~50 years.

The index is now trading 6.5 points below its 200-day moving average, the most since 2004. In other words, the US Dollar is extremely oversold short-term.

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Meanwhile, the net short US Dollar positions by asset managers and hedge funds dropped to the second-lowest in 4 years.

Over the last decade, the sentiment on the US Dollar has rarely been this bearish, suggesting the index might be overdue for a short-term bounce.

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